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Mapping Suicide Trends in South India: A Secondary Data Analysis of NCRB Reports with Predictive Modelling and Policy Recommendations

Shristi Aich, Neha Vishe, Megha Sharma, Loitongbam Jaya Devi, Riddhi Sanyal

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Indian Journal of Forensic Medicine and Pathology 18(4):p 271-282, Oct. - Dec. 2025. | DOI: 10.21088/ijfmp.0974.3383.18425.9

How Cite This Article:

Aich S., Vishe N., Sharma M., et al. Mapping Suicide Trends in South India: A Secondary Data Analysis of NCRB Reports with Predictive Modelling and Policy Recommendations. Indian J Forensic Med Pathol. 2025 Oct-Dec; 18(4): 271-282.

Timeline

Received : July 25, 2025         Accepted : December 12, 2025          Published : December 30, 2025

Abstract

Background: Suicide presents an increasingly significant challenge to the health of the Indian population, and patterns of methods and modes of self-harm are changing. During the past few years, the southern states have continued registering one of the highest suicide rates. The growing prevalence of methods that are fatal and the advent of family related suicides are an indication of changing social, psychological and economical strains. Such patterns are crucial in creating responsive and preventive approaches to mental health. Objectives: The objective of the study is to find out the trends of suicide in five south Indian states and predict the future trends in order to enable regional planning. It also touches on demographic trends and discrepancies set by gender on the cause basis. Methods: Official NCRB data on suicide over ten years were combined and evaluated. Long-term developments and predictions of the future rates were made with forecasting methods. Regional and gender-related trends were evaluated on the basis of the causes reported and demography available. Results: The results of analysis show that suicide rates continue to increase in the majority of the states in the region. Disparities were noted in the contributing factors between the male and female populations and economic stressors were more common among males and interpersonal or domestic factors were common among women. Conclusion: The results indicate that the need early intervention, area-specific mental health care and area-specific awareness efforts should be an essential aspect of attempting to prevent the predicted increase in the suicides in South India.


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Data Sharing Statement

There are no additional data available. All raw data and code are available upon request.

Funding

This research received no funding.

Author Contributions

All authors contributed significantly to the work and approve its publication.

Ethics Declaration

This article does not involve any human or animal subjects, and therefore does not require ethics approval.

Acknowledgements

We would like to express our gratitude to the patients, their families, and all those who have contributed to this study.

Conflicts of Interest

No conflicts of interest in this work.


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Cite this article

Aich S., Vishe N., Sharma M., et al. Mapping Suicide Trends in South India: A Secondary Data Analysis of NCRB Reports with Predictive Modelling and Policy Recommendations. Indian J Forensic Med Pathol. 2025 Oct-Dec; 18(4): 271-282.


Licence:

Attribution-Non-commercial 4.0 International (CC BY-NC 4.0)

This license enables reusers to distribute, remix, adapt, and build upon the material in any medium or format for noncommercial purposes only, and only so long as attribution is given to the creator.



Received Accepted Published
July 25, 2025 December 12, 2025 December 30, 2025

DOI: 10.21088/ijfmp.0974.3383.18425.9

Keywords

Suicide ratesSouth IndiaNational Crime Records Bureau (NCRB)Family mass suicidesDemographicGender differencesSocio-economic distressMental healthFinancial burdenEmployment-related stressSuicide preventionPublic health crisisIntervention strategies

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Received July 25, 2025
Accepted December 12, 2025
Published December 30, 2025

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Attribution-Non-commercial 4.0 International (CC BY-NC 4.0)

This license enables reusers to distribute, remix, adapt, and build upon the material in any medium or format for noncommercial purposes only, and only so long as attribution is given to the creator.



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